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Changes to Experience & Performance attributes

18 January 2016

The DARWIN Exchange (Darwinex) lists DARWINs that investors purchase from independent traders. To assist investors, we grade DARWINs for investable attributes (IAs).

But: DARWINs are (different leverage) transformations of their underlying strategies. So… what are the IA grades for, the DARWIN, or its underlying strategy?

The logical answer would be – the DARWIN! Then again, remember Tradeslide and the TS Score? Way back when, we were a site that diagnosed trading strategies, and DARWINs didn’t exist. Because of that legacy, up to last week, IA grades – somewhat inconsistently – were for the underlying strategy, not its DARWIN.

For the Consistency & Timing IA grades this is irrelevant: a strategy’s and its DARWIN TP / SL levels and trade timing are identical. For other IAs DARWIN & underlying strategy differ.

To side with logic, going forward IAs will grade the DARWIN – not the underlying strategy. The rest of this post outlines the implications for the Experience and Performance IA.

1. Changes to Experience Attribute

As you may recall, the Experience IA measures statistical representativeness. One core input into it is, amongst others, D-Leverage.

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To rate the DARWIN’s statistical representativeness (instead of the underlying strategy’s), the Experience IA now feeds off DARWIN adjusted D-Leverage, as opposed to  underlying strategy’s D-Leverage. After this change, which track record is more statistically representative, a strategy’s, or its DARWIN’s?

To reach the answer, think this through. All other things being equal, which strategy has more statistical significance?:

  1. Strategy 1: Take 100 trades, one where you leverage 200:1 for 5 days, and 99 where you leverage 1:1 for 1 hour
  2. DARWIN 1: Strategy’s 1 DARWIN, as offered to investors

Strategy 1 is (probably) very driven by the outcome of the 5-day 200:1 trade. To protect investors in DARWIN 1,  risk management algos would not fully replicate the 200:1 leverage trade to begin with. Moreover, as the 5 days progressed, they would gradually close out the trade to control leverage over time. This “smoothing out” would increase DARWIN 1’s statistical significance above Strategy 1, by “allocating” performance (more) evenly across the remaining 99 trades.

DARWINs accrue Experience at least as fast as their underlying Strategy, and generally faster. Going forward, therefore, users should rejoice that DARWIN Experience grades will grow faster – precisely because it rates DARWINs, not underlying strategies. Note that investability doesn’t change one bit – it’s just that the grade refers now to something else.

2. Changes to the Performance Attribute

Similarly, the Performance Investable Attribute grades the output DARWIN’s performance (i.e. the performance on 20% VaR after algos manage D-Leverage independently from the underlying strategy).

As you may recall, the Performance IA used to include a Leverage Illusion grade in addition to the Monkey Test. Their average grade was the strategy’s 0-10 Performance score.

Because only adjusted D-Leverage drives DARWIN performance , the “with and without leverage” Leverage Illusion grade is now redundant.

Snip20160118_16

All DARWIN providers need to do now is beat trading monkeys that use their same D-leverage!

Think this makes beating the monkeys any easier? Think again 🙂

3. Changes to other Attributes

Evolution is a process,  so it doesn’t stop here! We’ll keep working hard on algorithms and ratings.

Questions on the changes or anything else Darwinex?

E-mail info@darwinex.com, we’ll be glad to help out!

 

Last News

Trading Schedule for the US Independence Day on 3rd July 2020

30 June 2020

Please note the amended Darwinex trading hours for the upcoming US Independence Day on 3 July 2020.

Please note the amended Darwinex trading hours for the upcoming US Independence Day on 3 July 2020. All times are in UK (BST) time.

FX Friday 3rd July
All FX Instruments 22:04:01 Thu – 21:55:00 Fri
DARWINs 22:05:00 Thu – 21:55:00 Fri
Commodities Friday 3rd July
Gold *23:01:00 Thu – 17:44 Fri 
Silver *23:00:01 Thu – 17:59:50 Fri 
US Crude *23:00:01 Thu – 17:44 Fri 
US Natural Gas *23:00:01 Thu – 17:44 Fri 
Indices Friday 3rd July
AUS200 23:00 Thu – 22:00 Fri
STOXX50E 23:00 Thu – 22:00 Fri
FCHI40 23:00 Thu – 22:00 Fri
GDAXI 07:00 – 21:00
J225 *23:00 Thu – 18:00 Fri 
SPA35 07:00 – 19:00
UK100 23:00 Thu – 22:00 Fri
SPX500 *23:00 Thu – 18:00 Fri
NDX *23:00 Thu – 18:00 Fri 
WS30 *23:00 Thu – 18:00 Fri
Stocks Friday 3rd July
All US stocks CLOSED
 
Crypto Friday 3rd July
All Crypto Instruments 22:05 Wed – 22:00 Thu

*Amended trading hours.

The DARWIN Exchange will remain open even if the underlying assets’ market is closed. Learn about standard procedure when you buy/sell a DARWIN whose underlying asset market is closed: What happens if you want to buy/sell a DARWIN which has underlying trades open with different opening/closing times?

As always, at info@darwinex.com we’ll be happy to assist you!

apalancamiento esma

Move of DarwinIA allocations to new risk DARWINs

26 June 2020

Next Monday  29 June 2020 13:00 we will move DarwinIA allocations from the DARWINs of VaR 10% to those of VaR 6.5%.

Next Monday  29 June 2020 13:00 we will move DarwinIA allocations from the DARWINs of VaR 10% to those of VaR 6.5%.

For this move, it’s necessary to take into account the PnL of the allocation. That is, if a DARWIN of VaR 10% had an allocation of 20,000 and PnL of 1,000, what it will have after the migration to VaR 6.5% will be

(20000 + 1000) * 10/6.5

If it were a loss instead of a gain, it would be subtracted.

On July 1st the new DarwinIA prizes will be allocated to the 6.5% VaR DARWINs.

Upcoming Holiday in Australia

4 June 2020

Please be aware that there is a public holiday in Australia on 8 June. Please kindly note that during this time spreads may be wider and liquidity may be thinner. Bank holidays may also give rise to changes to the applicable swap rates. Here are the amended Darwinex trading hours for this day. All times are […]

Please be aware that there is a public holiday in Australia on 8 June. Please kindly note that during this time spreads may be wider and liquidity may be thinner. Bank holidays may also give rise to changes to the applicable swap rates.

Here are the amended Darwinex trading hours for this day. All times are in UK (BST) time.

Indices  Monday 8th June 2020
AUS200 08:10 – 22:00

 

The rest of the assets will trade according to their usual trading time.

 

apalancamiento esma

Platform in Maintenance Mode on May 30-31

29 May 2020

For the rolling out of the changes announced earlier this week, the entire Darwinex platform will be switched to maintenance mode including darwinex.com, mobile apps, FTP service and DARWIN API.

For the rolling out of the changes announced earlier this week, the entire Darwinex platform will be switched to maintenance mode including darwinex.com, mobile apps, FTP service and DARWIN API.

If everything goes as planned, the new DARWINs will be born by the end of the weekend!

Upcoming Holiday In New Zealand Resulting In The Possibility Of Wider Spread

27 May 2020

Please be aware that there is a public holiday in New Zealand on Monday, June 1st during which spreads may be wider and liquidity may be thinner. For any questions, reach out to info@darwinex.com.

Please be aware that there is a public holiday in New Zealand on Monday, June 1st during which spreads may be wider and liquidity may be thinner. For any questions, reach out to info@darwinex.com.

apalancamiento esma

Upcoming closure of demo investments in DARWINs not present in any live portfolio

Starting today we will gradually close demo investments in those old risk DARWINs that aren’t present in any live portfolio.

Related to the pivot we announced earlier this week, starting today we will gradually close demo investments in old risk DARWINs that aren’t present in any live portfolio. Throughout the coming weeks we will close all demo investments in these DARWINs. Closed investments in old DARWINs won’t be automatically replaced with investments in the new DARWIN. You will need to buy the new version to continue demo investing in the DARWIN again.

To open the investment in the new DARWIN with the same risk/return level you had with the old DARWINs, multiply the old investment amount by 1.54.

CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. -- % of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.